A crypto bull run is a period when prices of cryptocurrencies rise sharply and investor confidence is high. The month when a bull run starts matters because it often follows historical patterns and market cycles that influence momentum and trading strategies.
This post will review past bull run months, the main factors driving these upswings, current signals heading ahead, and practical tips for traders to make informed moves. Understanding these elements can help you spot opportunities and manage risks more effectively during volatile periods.
For a deeper understanding of market moves and trading approaches, you might find our guide on What is CFD trading? explained useful as it covers key concepts in crypto trading without owning the assets outright.
Historical Crypto Bull Run Months
Understanding when past bull runs started and peaked can help you spot key trends and better time your trades. Bitcoin often sets the stage for market movements, with altcoins following in its wake.
Looking back at major Bitcoin rallies and how altcoins reacted sheds light on these cyclical surges. Understand more about Crypto bull run months, by reading, Seasonal Trends in Bitcoin: What History Shows.
Bitcoin Bull Runs in 2013, 2017, and 2020
Here’s a quick snapshot of the major Bitcoin bull runs, pinpointing their kickoff, causes, and peaks:
• 2013: The rally started in March, sparked by growing mainstream media attention and interest from new investors. Bitcoin reached its peak in November after crossing $1,000 for the first time.
• 2017: The bull run kicked off in May following growing buzz around the Bitcoin halving event and wider adoption news. It peaked spectacularly in December as BTC approached $20,000, driven by massive retail FOMO and speculative mania.
• 2020: Starting around September, this uptrend followed the third Bitcoin halving in May and increasing institutional investments from firms like MicroStrategy. Bitcoin hit its all-time high in December, surpassing $28,000, fueled by more corporate and hedge fund interest.
Altcoin Peaks in Summer and Fall
Altcoins tend to heat up after Bitcoin gains momentum, often hitting their highest prices between July and December.
Around 60-70% of major altcoins experienced their peak prices in these months during past cycles. This pattern happens because:
• After Bitcoin sets a strong bull trend, investors look for bigger gains in smaller coins.
• The summer and fall months coincide with increased market activity and speculation.
• Many altcoins get new updates or partnerships announced in the second half of the year, boosting buying interest.
By tracking Bitcoin’s rally months and watching for this seasonal altcoin surge, traders can better position themselves to catch the waves that follow.
This dynamic between Bitcoin’s lead and altcoins’ bursts forms a familiar rhythm in crypto markets.
Why Certain Months Tend to Trigger Crypto Bull Runs
Certain months often seem to kick off or accelerate crypto bull runs. This is rarely a coincidence. Instead, several key factors align during these periods, creating the right environment for prices to surge.
Understanding these reasons can help you recognize when a bull market is likely to gain steam. For more insight about crypto acceleration months, see, How to Predict Patterns and Invest Smarter.
Halving and Supply Reductions
Bitcoin’s halving events play a critical role in timing bull runs. These halvings occur roughly every four years and cut the block reward miners receive by 50%. Typically, halvings happen around April to May.
This sudden reduction in new Bitcoin supply decreases selling pressure from miners and creates scarcity.
Markets don’t always react instantly. It usually takes a few months for the impact to hit prices as investors digest lower supply and increased demand.
Past halvings have shown this lag, with bull runs often unfolding from summer onward. Since Bitcoin drives much of the crypto market, its halving influences altcoin rallies too.
ETF Approvals and Institutional Flow
The arrival of spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) can inject fresh capital into the market. In early 2024, approvals of these ETFs opened the door for institutional investors and large funds to buy Bitcoin more easily. This influx of money boosted demand and confidence, sparking a rally that extended into the summer.
Big funds bring volume and stability, which is crucial for sustained bull runs. The timing of ETF approvals matters because it often leads to new buying that curves seasonal dips. Expect institutional flow to remain a key factor whenever regulatory green lights arrive.
Seasonal Liquidity Patterns
Liquidity refers to how much money is available to move into or out of markets. Mid-year tends to see higher global liquidity as investors rebalance portfolios.
Many shift capital from equities toward risk assets like crypto, seeking better returns after assessing performance in the first half of the year.
This seasonal pattern means more money chases crypto during summer months, supporting price hikes. It’s not just about fresh funds but a rotation that increases demand simultaneously across various assets, including cryptocurrencies.
Recognizing this can help you time entries before liquidity peaks push prices higher.
By linking halving cycles, institutional interest from ETFs, and seasonal liquidity shifts, you begin to see why certain months serve as natural triggers for crypto bull runs. Each factor fuels momentum, often overlapping to create powerful market moves.
For a foundational idea of trading strategies that can fit around these trends, check out our guide on CFD brokers explained and benefits.
Current Indicators for Crypto Bull Run
As we look toward this year, several key indicators suggest a strong possibility of a new crypto bull run. These signals come from on-chain data, macroeconomic factors, and evolving regulations.
Keeping an eye on these can help you understand the foundation behind price movements and market momentum as the year unfolds.
On‑Chain Metrics
On-chain metrics provide a real-time pulse of investor activity and network health. Three stand out as especially important for predicting price momentum:
• Active addresses reflect the number of unique wallets participating in transactions daily. Rising active addresses show growing user engagement and demand, typically a green flag for price increases.
• New wallet balances track the amount of fresh capital entering crypto markets. An influx of new wallets holding significant balances suggests more buyers are accumulating coins, a sign of confidence.
• Low realized volatility means prices are stabilizing after prior swings. Lower volatility often precedes sustained upward trends because it reflects reduced panic selling and more steady accumulation.
Together, these metrics show a market that’s quietly building strength beneath the surface. When you see active addresses and wallet balances climb steadily while volatility calms down, it hints at a healthy environment for a bull run.
Macro Economic Factors
The broader economic picture plays a major role in crypto’s liquidity and investor appetite. Here’s what to watch:
• The US dollar trend is crucial because a strong dollar usually limits crypto’s appeal as an alternative asset. A weakening dollar tends to push more funds into Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies as hedges.
• Inflation data shapes central bank policies, which impact interest rates and liquidity. High inflation levels often lead investors to seek protection via crypto, while lower inflation can reduce urgency.
These factors influence how much money flows into crypto markets. Currently, inflation remains above target levels but has been easing, and the dollar shows signs of softening, which could improve crypto liquidity and buying power.
Regulatory Landscape
Clarity and confidence in crypto regulations are getting stronger, helping to boost institutional interest:
• The EU’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) framework is designed to standardize rules across member states, bringing legal certainty and investor protections for crypto products. This regulation will roll out fully.
• In the United States, efforts toward clearer crypto rules continue with the passage of acts focused on defining stablecoins and regulating ETFs. Recent approvals of spot Bitcoin ETFs have brought fresh capital and legitimacy.
These regulatory moves build trust for both institutions and retail investors. Approval of regulated products encourages more inflows and reduces fears about sudden crackdowns, making 2025 a more favorable environment for a major bull run.
Tracking these indicators lets you see beyond price charts, offering a clearer view of market momentum. Watch for growing user engagement, easing inflation pressure with a softer dollar, and steady regulatory progress as key signals of a potential crypto surge starting soon.
How Traders Can Prepare for the Next Crypto Bull Month
Getting ready for a bull month takes more than just watching prices rise. It means planning, protecting your investments, and using the right tools to stay sharp.
When markets heat up, being well-prepared helps you make smarter decisions and avoid common pitfalls. Here’s how to set yourself up for success when the next crypto bull run hits.
Risk Management Basics
Risk management is the backbone of trading, especially during fast-moving bull months. Keeping your losses small and your profits in check helps you stay in the game longer.
• Position sizing: Only risk a small portion of your total capital on any single trade. A common rule is to risk 1% to 3% per position. This way, a few losses won’t wipe out your account or force rash decisions.
• Stop-loss placement: Use stop-loss orders to sell your cryptocurrency automatically if the price falls to a certain level. Place stops just below a recent support level or a price that breaks your trade’s logic.
• Setting profit targets: Know your exit points before entering a trade. Decide on a realistic profit target based on resistance levels or a percentage gain. Taking profits in stages can help lock in gains without missing further upside.
These simple steps turn trading from guesswork into a strategy with clear rules.
Diversifying Between Bitcoin and Altcoins
Holding only Bitcoin or just altcoins can expose you to uneven swings. Mixing both helps smooth your overall returns.
Bitcoin often leads bull runs with big, steady moves while altcoins tend to follow with sharper climbs later. For example, recent summers have seen altcoins like Polygon (MATIC) and Solana (SOL) perform strongly in July and August, adding extra fuel to the rally.
• Bitcoin is more stable and less volatile, acting like the “anchor” in your portfolio.
• Altcoins offer higher upside but come with bigger risks.
• By balancing between the two, you reduce sharp losses if the market shifts.
This blend lets you catch gains across the board while managing risk more carefully.
Using CoinBuns Guides for Tool Setup
Choosing the right tools can save time and improve your trading results. CoinBuns has detailed articles that guide you through setting up everything from exchanges to security.
• For picking the best platforms to buy and sell crypto, check out CoinBuns’ guides on selecting trusted and suitable exchanges.
• Portfolio trackers help you monitor your holdings in one place. CoinBuns covers various apps that keep your investments organized with real-time updates.
• Security is critical in crypto. Follow detailed tips from CoinBuns on avoiding scams and securing your wallets and accounts to protect your assets.
These step-by-step guides walk you through each process clearly, so you won’t miss important details. Using trusted resources helps you build confidence and trade smarter with fewer mistakes.
By managing risk well, diversifying your holdings, and setting up solid tools, you position yourself for a smoother ride when the next bull month arrives.
For more on trading platforms and getting started with crypto securely, check out our best IDO launchpads for crypto projects and tips to protect yourself from crypto trading scams.
Conclusion
The most likely bull run months center around mid-year to early fall, following historical patterns tied to the Bitcoin halving and growing institutional interest.
Key signals include rising active addresses, increasing new wallet balances, and steady regulatory progress, all suggesting strong market momentum building beneath the surface.
Traders can prepare by practicing solid risk management, diversifying between Bitcoin and altcoins, and using trusted resources to manage tools and security. Staying informed and watching for shifts in macroeconomic factors will help you make smarter decisions as the opportunity unfolds.
Keep an eye on these signals to position yourself confidently for the months ahead, and use practical guidance to navigate the volatility. Staying prepared and vigilant is the best way to make the most of the potential crypto bull run.

Adeyemi Adetilewa is interested in blockchain, cryptocurrency, and web3. When he is not looking for the next alpha, he is busy working as a husband and father.